Health & Fitness "India’s inefficiency helped"

[PoBoy]

India is missing about 90 infections for every Covid case, latest govt analysis shows

Latest analysis by DST panel, that predicted end of Covid pandemic in India in February 2021, finds that about 60 per cent Indians have been infected so far.

theprint.in

Agrawal is emphatic that India, according to the supermodel projections, will not see another peak and sticks to the committee’s original projections of February 2021, i.e., the country will see an end of the pandemic with about 20,000 active cases. This is partly because of the large numbers of undetected infections.
“India level we do not expect another peak now. Broadly, the numbers will continue tapering off. Currently, as per the model, about 60 per cent Indians have already been infected, they have antibodies,” he said.
“That is corroborated by the fact that even after the festival season, except Delhi, not many states saw a spike. Some states may go up a bit. Uttarakhand is currently rising, so is Meghalaya,” he added.
If India does end up with a single Covid peak, it will be an outlier. Most countries around the world have seen multiple peaks. ...

 

[calvin1719]

This committee's work doesn't inspire much confidence in me tbh. Modeling and extrapolating based on incomplete data is, of course, nothing new, but this guy says "“Like all mathematical models, this is an approximation of reality. If you start to estimate actual numbers from this, that is problematic. But if you arrive at a good trend, you should be happy.”

Like, wth does that even mean? It makes me suspicious that their model may be biased towards generating a trend that the govt. wants to see in the data, and not something based on good science or good statistical science.

Also, wtf is a "supermodel" when not speaking in the context of people like Heidi Klum?

 

[PoBoy]

There May Not Be Second Peak Of COVID-19 In India: Experts

Healthcare experts have said that there may not be a second peak of COVID-19 in the country, and even if it occurs, it is unlikely to be as strong as the first one.

www.ndtv.com

"I don't think there would be a second peak as we have gone through the festive season (Dussehra to Diwali) and a state election without a significant jump. What is the reason for this? If we go by the second national sero-survey, likely cases were 16 times confirmed cases. By that factor, India would have 160 million cases now," he told PTI.

It is possible that by now there are over 300-400 million infections in the country, Jameel said.

"By that token, we are seeing large parts of the population getting protected and breaking transmission of the virus," he said.

 

[psyph3r]

Useless organization keeps proving it's useless.

WHO Information Notice for IVD Users

Product type: Nucleic acid testing (NAT) technologies that use real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for detection of SARS-CoV-2 Date: 7 December 2020 WHO-identifier: 2020/5, version 1 Purpose of this notice: To ensure...

www.who.int