Lots of flights from Qatar cancelled. Few Family member’s had their flight cancelled.
i think you are confused between islamic theocracy and islamic barbarism
I made a few iranian friends while i worked in UK whose parents escaped from Iran during the regime change, None of them have anything good to say about the current regime.
That site has been taken offline by the Americans I heard
Indeed, just see the celebrations at a Tehran market
Teenage kids, zadan means they struck them
Dancing in the street
Does she sound scared or elated?
Ministry of interior in Tehran has been struck. See how casually people are behaving
@blr_p : FlightRadar24 is not working in UAE, Jordan, Kuwait, Australia, Austria as well according to what is being posted on Reddit.
@solo_wing “USS Thank you for your attention to this matter” aa gaya
.. cause the first 3 went so well 
There were rumors floating on the internet that Khamenei had been killed/ seriously injured in the strikes in Iran but…
Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told NBC News that Ali Khamenei is still alive, ‘as far as I know’. Araghchi confirmed that two commanders had died, but senior officials in the regime had survived the first strikes, including the head of the judiciary and the parliament speaker.
The anti-christ won’t appear without the blood of innocents being spilled (or so some doomsday cult believes) and so of course we have this:
At least I know my conspiracy theories make sense.
How else would this be explained?
Supreme leader was using them as human shields?
World’s most advanced military had their gps glitch?
Nah, blood sacrifice of little girls makes more sense.
Yup. All flights are cancelled till 2nd is what I last heard. Im in Dubai right now. Saw a missile being intercepted in the sky a couple of hours ago.
Rumours of mass defection in the Iranian army. Officers telling soldiers not to go ahead.
The Shah said he had over 50k people in the regime willing to switch sides
Trump’s deal is pretty good. Stand down and receive total immunity. Or die.
He’s safe but first target of the day was his presidential palace
People’s reaction was, it’s happening. Finally. Just how shocked they would be that this nightmare really will end soon
Iranian missile misfires and falls back shortly after launch
Pretty sure its the same across all muslim countries that have a US base.
Trita Parsi is a known Islamic Republic supporter who will be out of work soon
Again they are celebrating
Iran’s Defence Minister Amir Nasirzadeh and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander Mohammed Pakpour are believed to have been killed in an Israeli strike, according to sources familiar with Israel’s military operations and a regional source, Reuters reported.
This is more important
Trump is not going to like that one bit.
Don’t want the Americans there then tell them to leave. They’re only tenants.
That means nobody is commanding the IRGC until a replacement takes over and he gets taken out etc
Bad for morale across the organisation. Defections will go up
I am not sure why you are so hawkish on this war? A regime change in Iran is definitely not in India’s interest and will create all kinds of problems for us.
We have a problem with jihadis.
The biggest jihadi supporter in the region is being neutralised
What problems can you forsee?
I’ve already counter argued an oped about this in the other thread. You might want to look at that
And
Bottom line
India has leverage in West Asia because we play the Shia-Sunni power struggle. A regime change in Iran will all but create a Sunni dominance, giving Pakistan & the US a lot more leverage over us.
Iran’s leadership directed its fundamentalist elements toward Israel, not India, once that shatters in all likelihood we will see a power vacuum there, with regional warlords operating their fiefdoms, giving both terrorist organizations & Pakistan a lot of new room to play.
They got the ace of spades in less than 24h
His s-i-l & d-i-l too
Still waiting on confirmation about his son though it seems likely as well
She’s overwhelmed 
Can you give examples of that leverage ?
Because my understanding is we’re dependent on what the last ayatollah said to placate Shias and whatever the Saudis said to deal with the Sunnis. In India. Better relations with those countries has domestic advantages.
For instance, MBS taking a moderate stance which is a change from the previous hardline one impacts radicals everywhere as sunni fundamentalism becomes less prioritised. Earlier the sunnis (saudis) had to compete with revolutionary Iran.
We’ve not been able to buy any Iranian oil since Trump 1 which changes once US lifts sanctions. This in turn gives us leverage with the new Iranian regime. Access to Afghanistan is more likely to increase without US sanctions. I also see North south corridor to Russia developing.
People always go for Sunni Shiah differences but forget Sunni - Sunni differences.
I didn’t find the Turks at all helpful to the Saudis during the Khashoggi affair. To the contrary they were very willing to incriminate MBS. To the point where MBS wasn’t welcome in the west.
Saudis & UAE blocaded Qatar at one point and Saudis were keen on invading Qatar. These days it seems the Saudis have a problem with even the Emiratis.
Turkey & Qatar support the Muslim brotherhood along with Iran. The MB is a threat to gulf monarchs and banned in those countries. They were unseated from power in Egypt because they were seen as threatening the gulf rulers hold on power.
Turkey, Saudi, Qatar & UAE don’t see eye to eye. So any illusion of a Sunni dominance is just that.
As for increased US dominance. We get along with Israel. We get along with the Gulf. We will get along with free Iran as well.
India, Iran & Israel could work together on common interests.
Number of variables here
The gulf monarchs are more vulnerable to a secular government in Iran as it gives their own people ideas about freedom. How does this play out. They don’t want a second Arab spring.
Will the regime that succeeds the Islamic Republic be stable or not. If not then your scenario unfolds. Otherwise there is no vacuum.
Unless Pakistan can step in to replace Islamic Republic funding I don’t see how Pakistan can exploit the situation. Other than Hamas all Iranian proxies are Shia. They may exist as, warlords but will be less problematic without the usual funding and military tech & training.
One angle is new Iran might not be so predisposed to the Taliban. But then neither was the Islamic Republic who were keen to allow the US access to Afghanistan via Iran until Bush included them in his axis of evil speech. Another antagonist to the Taliban could lighten Pakistan’s present focus on their western front.
The flip side is oil smuggling due to sanctions from Iran into Pakistan reduces as sanctions go away and Iran charges Pakistan market rates for oil.
How does Iranian freedom sit with Pak youth. Are Pak youth going to push harder with Imran or similar.
Doesn’t an anti jihad Iran make it harder for a jihadi Pakistan to operate. If anything you would think Paks definitely prefer status quo of jihadi Islamic republic to a free Iran.
Here’s something I’ve been thinking about.
Good ol’ supreme leader is like 86, 87 years old, or was, and he definitely didn’t intend on living forever.
Iran’s government must have a succession plan in place, surely, yeah?
So whether he dies/died today or not, they’ve already prepped and primed his replacement.
Presumably with more or less the same policies and beliefs.
So that essentially makes his death a moment of his choosing — and him a martyr.
Remember, these people can get a little fanatical about martyrdom.
Wouldn’t it have been cheaper/simpler to just wait for him to die?
Could it be that the US was goaded into this?
Either way, a regime change seems unlikely.
