^ Why would you assume? No really, don't waste your time waiting for it.
'Assuming' that the owner doesn't renew it, you would probably get to buy it by June 2011. I would highly recommend finding another name starting right away, than waiting for so long.
If you really want to wait, then have a look at the domain and see if it's an active and developed website. If it is, then in all probability, the owner would renew it. If it is a parked page or something, then maybe he'll let it go.
'Assuming' that the owner doesn't renew it, you would probably get to buy it by June 2011. I would highly recommend finding another name starting right away, than waiting for so long.
If you really want to wait, then have a look at the domain and see if it's an active and developed website. If it is, then in all probability, the owner would renew it. If it is a parked page or something, then maybe he'll let it go.