Israel Hezbollah Pager Attack.

dpandey said:
Handing over Syria to Al-Qaida was prob a well thought out move. Pieces falling into place:

www.jpost.com

'What’s our fate, our brothers?': Syrian Druze call to be annexed to Israel

A convention of dignitaries from the Druze village of Hader in the Syrian Golan called to join the Israeli Golan.
www.jpost.com www.jpost.com
Click to expand...
Still struggling to figure this out. A couple of things seem likely

- a civil war or close to it in Lebanon as the minority Christians, Druze & Sunnis push back a weakened Shia Hezbollah.

- whether the establishment of an Islamist state in Syria threatens the moderate Jordan and gulf monarchs due to the Muslim brotherhood getting a foothold in Syria. Saudis definitely won't want that so will act to counter it in Syria like Turkey wants to suppress the Kurds.
dpandey said:
I am waiting for the day Akhundzada attacks the quad-state west of India. West Panjabi's and Sindhis will signing petitions to join the Akhand Bharat project :)
Click to expand...
Yeah, that one turned out different to what was expected. Instead of increasing attacks on j&k by the Taliban it was Pakistan that has to deal with the reopened border dispute by a nationalist Taliban about the Durand line cutting through Pashtun country
 
  • Like
Reactions: Emperor
The US relies on a kurdish group inside Syria known as the PKK to guard ISIS prisoners and keep a control. This policy dates back to the Obama era.

The Turks consider PKK a seperatist/terrorist group that at all costs must be kept away from their border and defeated.

What a betrayal of an ally by the Obama administration. Was it so hard to ask Turkey to do the job instead of the PKK? Yes, because that would upset Iran and back in 2014 Obama wanted to have a nuke deal with them. Over time the Israelis have also started supporting the kurds.

The easiest way out of this situation is for the US & Israel to abandon the Kurds. That would prevent both from getting on the wrong side of Turkey & the new government in Syria. More important that Israel does so but they seem oblivious.

Given what Trump said about not getting involved in Syria, it would not be a surprise that within the first year of his term he withdraws the 1,000 or so odd US personnel presently stationed in Syria to combat IS.

There isn't agreement as yet whether to abandon the Kurds or not.

Failing which both Turkey & US troops will be up against each other. There is an odd exception in the NATO rules. Article 5 won't be invoked should members engage each other so long as it does not occur in NATO territory (!)

Which option do you think will happen?
 

I can understand the Americans not getting this one right but Israeli intel too :rolleyes:

The only reason the Israelis went into Lebanon was because the PM decided the price was worth it whatever it was.

Oh and the chief of staff and the defense minister were against the pager operation. The PM overuled them and went ahead. The date was brought forward due to a leak from the Israeli government.

Can you can see why the defense minister was sacked. Highly decorated vet that he was but not of the same political mindset.
 
Pager operation happened at right time, if bibi waited for everybody else's consensus the charge might've got expired and not working when it was desperately needed.
Right now, Israel's handler USA is weak due to Biden's mental state together with ongoing mega RUvsUA war, multiple conflicts in every other place, etc., so Israel can do whatever the want if they strategize correctly.
Things may change once Trump take over.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Emperor
TEUser2K1 said:
Pager operation happened at right time, if bibi waited for everybody else's consensus the charge might've got expired and not working when it was desperately needed.
Click to expand...
There would be no consensus and the only way was for the PM to overrule the military. So to oppose the PM it is arranged to leak info about the pager operation to one of the Israeli papers. If you make public these plans then it cannot be carried out. This is treason.
TEUser2K1 said:
Right now, Israel's handler USA is weak due to Biden's mental state together with ongoing mega RUvsUA war, multiple conflicts in every other place, etc., so Israel can do whatever the want if they strategize correctly.
Click to expand...
No, it's the opposite. Biden has interferred every step of the way with constant threats. The chief of staff and defense minister were American puppets. Whatever the Americans opposed then so would these two. So much delays were imposed. Over five months wasted.
TEUser2K1 said:
Things may change once Trump take over.
Click to expand...
For the better. His defense secretary as well as him have said Israel needed to take out Iran's nuclear infrastructure. That means when the time is right Israel will be given the greenlight. After the sanctions have had time to weaken Iran.

It's too late now according to the IAEA chief to ask for reducing enrichment as Iran is close to break out.

How to fix it? F-35

The same intel people predicted that Iran would plunge the entire gulf into war. Everyone is then afraid of oil prices shooting up. This will not happen.

Iran has no airforce nor navy. Their army isn't going to invade anyone. A year ago Iran was looking strong but now its alone and incapable of properly retaliating.

This operation could have been done back in 2012 if Obama didn't betray the Israelis by making their warplans public.
 
Top Bottom