If Israel subdues Hezbollah, before election day, will be massive win for Democarats.
I don't know how they can subdue hezbollah in just one month. When this pager thing started people were
expecting an incursion as the pager attack is your ideal first move and was certainly developed and kept in store for such an eventuality. Strike when they are in a state of shock & confusion.
Now people are wondering whether this pager thing and not some larger incursion was what the government meant. Because the government recently said the northern situation was unacceptable. Over 65k displaced and the buffer zone that used to be on the southern tip of Lebanon has moved to the northern part of Israel.
In any case the government has 65% of the peoples support for a move on Lebanon. But there is no American support which is why until now their hands have been tied. The Americans wanted to contain the conflict and think any move on Lebanon will broaden it. So Israelis are stuck playing defense in the north. Having absorbed more than 8k missile strikes and counting for nearly a year. All they could do upto now was respond in a tit for tat manner or how we call it qpq (quid pro quo) which only prolongs the situation as possibility of talks has reduced.
Should Harris win as
seems likely they are unlikely to get a green light to go into Lebanon. Its anyone's guess whether even Trump would allow it. In any case it isn't advisable to start something else until Gaza is completed.
I am watching IC 814 kandhar hijack and sometimes I wish it was Israel that these Pakistanis would have try to pull such things off.
They would have made Pakistanis regret for the rest of their life.
If you compare IC814 with the current Israeli hostage situation I can't say they are handling it any better.
IC814 was devised by Masood Azhar's relative to free him. It worked. But we also got all the hostages back safe & sound, save for one, within a week.
Over ten years ago, to get their kidnapped soldier Gilad Shalit released from 5 years in captivity, the Israelis released over a thousand Pal convicts. Yahya Sinwar among them and the mastermind of Oct 7.
Out of over 250 kidnapped on Oct 7 only a hundred were returned and the rest held. Today, that number is about 100 odd with only 60% thought to be alive.
To show how crazy this situation is, recently 6 hostages were executed because Hamas feared the IDF already in Rafa was nearby. The opposition & hostage families blamed the PM for their deaths instead of Hamas.
But we Indians ..what did we do ..shout for few days and then it's all gone with the wind. We suffer not only short term memory but no sense of country's respect too.
Because the matter was handled adequately by the government in a short span of time. We haven't had any hijackings since then or any attempt to kidnap and take Indians hostage.
Koi bhi ata thok ke chale jata hai( Mumbai attack).
By not responding to 26/11 what risk is involved. Will China, Nepal, Bangladesh or Sr Lanka attempt another 26/11?
No, we face no such risk from them. Only risk was from the Paks who we chose to deal with in a different way as were incapable of doing anything kinetic at the time. By that I mean lacking the military ability to handle an escalation and not lack of will.
If Israel behaved like us with 26/11 after Oct 7, they would be inviting future similar attacks not only from Hamas but also from the west bank & Hezbollah.
What the world should have done after Oct 7 was get behind Israel and demand the return of the hostages. That didn't happen leaving the Israelis with only one option.
www.bbc.com
apnews.com
kanchangupta.blogspot.com
