Nothing is ever so certain from patterns. It could just be a pause in a trend. Its clearly doing better than index.
Its hard to get it at first - but
Nobody knows anything for certain in markets. Anyone can say anything with absolute confidence - it does not mean anything even if he is right 10 times in a row
You have odds and risk /reward. Even those are shifting in short term(shifts more) and long term ( shifts less).
Take a pattern/plan/system, Trade it 1000 tines. You lose x, you win y. if y-x = good money, then congrats, maybe idea works.