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Pilgrim
^underlined bit
Reason its peaceful is because the US is dominating China militarily and this isn't going to change in the relevant theatres
The Trumps & Elon tweets thread (Had to make this since it's never ending)
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Reason its peaceful is because the US is dominating China militarily and this isn't going to change in the relevant theatres
China's dtrump test is whether dtrump is talking about Taiwan. He is silent and Taiwan will smoothly be part of China in due time.
And last time dtrump was haranguing with China and world got Covid19. Wish dtrump not to disturb China.
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Pilgrim
Keep in mind he doesn't have to say anything unless provoked. Doubt China will test his resolve on Taiwan
Oh and what makes you say that?
Smoothly means ROC chooses to join PRC which it was never a part of
How's Hong Kong now, anybody discussion about HK ?
Same way, let us see what time have to show us.
psyph3r
Juggernaut
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Pilgrim
There is no same way. If HK refuses China can send the military. So they had no choice but to accede.
But ROC is an island. Never been a part of the PRC.
It is 100 miles away from the Chinese coast. There is no way for China to take ROC without extensive casualties. Think 100k only kid PLA dead.
Never going to happen
This is what military people experienced in war have told me over twenty years ago. The only people who go on about it are those with no military experience.
Taiwan is already de facto independent and there isn't a thing the PRC can do about it
Since China hasn't said anything about Taiwan. They aren't stupid. Trump hasn't had to say anything.
Also consider the US policy towards Taiwan is that of strategic ambiguity. Which is an interesting Asian way of thinking from a western power. US doesn't expressly say what it will do but the last couple of times there was a straits crisis in the 50s and the late 90s, the US sent a couple of carriers to calm things down. In short its too much of a risk for China to take.
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They already made enough statements, even said war it is, if demanded. What more do anyone need ?
It's not 1950 or 1990's golden empire period of USA anymore and they know it. So does China.
So, only time will reveal what's in store. I just don't want one more 'rona, that's all, haha...
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Pilgrim
Nothing specific since he entered office. That is the part you keep missing.
And Pelosi demonstrated just how empty their threats were by defying the CCP and visiting Taiwan. Significant since she wasn't just any representative but the speaker of the house at the time. If Biden could stand up to China in this way you can expect Trump to be more blatant. So like I said the CCP isn't stupid to try anything.
The exercises the PLAN carried out post her supposed 'provocation' were held so far off the Taiwanese coast that the people in Taiwan weren't even aware they were taking place. So the only purpose & audience for these stunts was for face saving and their own people in China.
This whole talk of war is if Taiwan formally declares independence. But as I said earlier Taiwan is already defacto independent. With their own independent government, flag, military & currency.
And what has been the result. The DPP which is the pro independence party in Taiwan won the elections a year ago. This is their third win for the pro independence party since 2016. Four year terms. So Taiwanese are clearly in no mood for reunification any time soon. In fact what happened in HK made them even more determined that it never happens to them.
US military spending still dwarfs the next ten states after. There has been zero retrenchment of the US from any theatre since the cold war ended. All bases in place and in fact more added since. So this 'golden empire' period you speak of is still alive & kicking.
China hasn't done anything. That should tell you they are still weak & incapable. They are the ones with the grievance. What are they waiting for.
Nothing changes in this area mid to long term. I find amusing that you think China can still get stronger when the reality is they have peaked already and are now in a permanent decline.
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